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HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM EST MON NOV 05 2001

...MICHELLE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BAHAMA ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA 
FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO CRAIG KEY INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY...AND WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...  BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...
CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET.
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.2 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES 
...35 KM...SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS.
 
MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR... 
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE HIGHEST WIND WIND SPEED REPORTED ON LAND IN SOUTH FLORIDA WITHIN 
THE PAST HOUR WAS 39 MPH WITH A GUST TO 49 MPH AT MIAMI BEACH.  
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WERE REPORTED BY A SHIP NEAR EXUMA IN THE 
BAHAMA ISLANDS. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  973 MB...28.73 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN THE BAHAMAS ALONG THE PATH OF MICHELLE.  
A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...ALONG WITH BATTERING 
WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FLORIDA IN THE 
WARNING AREA TODAY.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG 
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS LIKELY OVER THE BAHAMAS ISLANDS NEAR 
AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 10 AM EST POSITION...24.8 N... 77.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 1 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM 
EST.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
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