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TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 15 2001
 
...WEAKENING KAREN NEARING NOVA SCOTIA...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 43.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...
195 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR.  A TURN TO
THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY.  THE CENTER OF KAREN IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE SOUTH COAST OF
NOVA SCOTIA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED HAVE DECREASED TO 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS LIKELY...AND KAREN IS EXPECTED TO 
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES
...370 KM...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE SPREADING OVER SOUTHERN NOVA 
SCOTIA.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...43.2 N... 65.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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