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TROPICAL STORM JERRY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST SUN OCT 07 2001

...JERRY APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
 
AT THE REQUEST OF THE RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS...THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES FOR ST VINCENT AND THE GRENADINE ISLANDS...TOBAGO...GRENADA
AND DEPENDENCIES ARE UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 59.0 WEST OR ABOUT
80 MILES...  130 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.  THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF TOBAGO.

JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.  AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECON IS APPROACHING THE SYSTEM AT THE TIME OF
THIS ADVISORY AND WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM PASSES 
OVER THE ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...12.0 N...  59.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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