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TROPICAL STORM JERRY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM AST SUN OCT 07 2001

...JERRY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.  THE WATCH 
MAY BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER TODAY.
 
AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.9 WEST OR 
ABOUT 335 MILES...535 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS IN THE 
WINDWARD ISLANDS.
 
JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND A
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD 
REACH BARBADOS WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE 
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE 
REQUIRED FOR OTHER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...11.3 N... 54.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 5 AM AST. 
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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