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TROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN OCT 07 2001

...JERRY REFORMS FARTHER NORTH...STILL MOVING THROUGH THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. VINCENT AND
THE GRENADINE ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS MAY AFFECT ST. LUCIA ON MONDAY.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.6 WEST OR 
ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...EAST OF ST. VINCENT.
 
JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED 
LATER TONIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY
WOULD TRACK BETWEEN ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT MONDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES
...110 KM...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY LARGER AMOUNTS 
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS JERRY PASSES THROUGH
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...13.3 N... 60.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST...MONDAY.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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