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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN OCT 07 2001
...JERRY HEADING FOR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR TOBAGO.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...TOBAGO...
GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.2 WEST OR
ABOUT 245 MILES...400 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS IN THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 300 MILES...485 KM...
EAST OF TOBAGO.
JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND A
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD
REACH BARBADOS AND TOBAGO WITHIN 24 HOURS...AND GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES WITHIN 36 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM TODAY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...11.5 N... 56.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
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