[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM AST SAT OCT 06 2001
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO CABO BEATA...AND ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO ANSE D 
HAINAULT.  A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA 
AND FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND 
GUANTANAMO.  THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL 
BE LOWERED LATER TONIGHT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THESE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE 
UPGRADED TO HURRICANE WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT.
  
AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.0 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES...305 
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR AND SHOULD BE 
MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
ON THIS TRACK...IRIS WILL BE PASSING OVER OR NEAR JAMAICA DURING THE 
NEXT 12.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR NEAR  75 MPH...120KM/HR...OVER A 
SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS 
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE 
PLANE WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND 
JAMAICA ON SUNDAY.

RAIN CONTINUES OVER HISPANIOLA.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE 
PATH OF IRIS.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...17.0 N... 74.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN


Problems?