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TROPICAL STORM IRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM AST SAT OCT 06 2001

...IRIS CONTINUES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO LA BEATA...AND ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO ANSE D
HAINAULT.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO
BARAHONA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR 
JAMAICA.  HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER
TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO WESTWARD TO CAMAGUEY.
 
AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.5 WEST OR ABOUT 105 
MILES...165 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO BEATA IN THE BARAHONA PENINSULA  
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 
KM/HR...AND A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE PROJECTED TRACK THE CENTER OF IRIS 
WILL BE PASSING CLOSE TO THE BARAHONA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTH COAST 
OF HAITI TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND IRIS IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER THIS MORNING.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS  998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

OUTER RAINBANDS ARE ALREADY SPREADING OVER HISPANIOLA.  RAINFALL 
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN 
BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF IRIS.

REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...16.5 N... 70.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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