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TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRIS ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE OCT 09 2001

...IRIS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER EASTERN MEXICO...
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  92.8 WEST OR ABOUT
45 MILES...75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TUXTLA GUTIERREZ MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IRIS NEAR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  35 MPH... 55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS
IRIS MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN MEXICO...AND IRIS WILL
LIKELY WEAKEN TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA LATER TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA AND EASTERN MEXICO.  THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...16.1 N... 92.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THIS WILL BE THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON IRIS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER UNLESS REDEVELOPMENT OCCURS OVER THE
PACIFIC. IF SUCH REDEVELOPMENT OCCURS...THE SYSTEM WILL RETAIN
THE NAME IRIS.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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