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HURRICANE IRIS ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001

...IRIS NEARING JAMAICA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...THE SOUTHEASTERN
CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO..AND FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN CUBAN PROVINCES
OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HAITI.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115
KM...SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH
...28 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY 
AND TONIGHT.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE HURRICANE NEAR...OR 
OVER...JAMAICA LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...OVER A SMALL AREA JUST NORTH OF THE CENTER.  SOME 
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM 
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT JAMAICA TODAY.  

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF IRIS.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.1 N... 76.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
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