HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRIS ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT OCT 06 2001
 
...IRIS BECOMES A HURRICANE IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO CABO BEATA...AND ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO ANSE
D HAINAULT.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO BARAHONA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.0 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES...365 
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR AND SHOULD BE 
MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
ON THIS TRACK...IRIS WILL BE PASSING OVER OR NEAR JAMAICA DURING THE 
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  75 MPH...120 
KM/HR...IN A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME 
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE 
WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA TODAY AND JAMAICA 
ON SUNDAY.

OUTER RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER HISPANIOLA.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN
BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF IRIS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...17.0 N... 73.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN