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TROPICAL STORM IRIS ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI OCT 05 2001
 
...TROPICAL STORM IRIS FORMS IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...COULD BECOME 
A HURRICANE ON SATURDAY... 
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
SOUTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO
THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI...ANSE D HAINAULT.  ALSO...THE
GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE BARAHONA PENINSULA FROM BARAHONA TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA. IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO UPGRADE THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A HURRICANE WATCH TONIGHT OR SATURDAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO BARAHONA.
  
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRIS WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.8 WEST OR ABOUT 155 
MILES...250 KM...SOUTH OF PONCE ON THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO.
 
IRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  THIS TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IRIS NEAR THE SOUTHWEST
COAST OF HISPANIOLA ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH... 95 
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IRIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON 
SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS  
1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

SQUALLS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY OCCUR
ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO TODAY AS RAIN BANDS MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...15.8 N... 66.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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