[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 07 2001
 
...ERIN NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...AIR FORCE PLANE WILL TELL 
THE TALE... 
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...  LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST OR ABOUT
665 MILES...1070 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED 
TODAY.  HOWEVER...ERIN SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IN 
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS BUT ERIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 
AN AIR FORCE PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...24.8 N...  57.9 W.  MOVEMENT
...NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  35 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA


NNNN


Problems?