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TROPICAL STORM ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2001

...ERIN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 555 MILES...  890 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

ERIN HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH ...30 KM/HR. A TURN 
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 
GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE 
IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...17.1 N... 53.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
  
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