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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST SAT AUG 18 2001
 
...CHANTAL POORLY ORGANIZED...RACING WESTWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR 
JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. 

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS 
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.9 WEST OR ABOUT 
220 MILES...355 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
CHANTAL IS RACING WESTWARD NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK CHANTAL WILL BE PASSING TO THE SOUTH OR NEAR JAMAICA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A SMALL AREA TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NO CHANGE 
IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES ...230 KM
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE 
WAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL. 
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...15.3 N...  74.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 24 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...  60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
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