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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU AUG 16 2001
 
...HURRICANE HUNTERS UNABLE TO FIND A CENTER AT THIS TIME... 
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GUADELOUPE AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...EFFECTIVE AT 12 PM
AST...1600Z.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST.
VINCENT...ST. LUCIA...DOMINICA AND THE GRENADINES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA...TOBAGO AND
ITS DEPENDENCIES...AND MARTINIQUE.
 
PRELIMINARY REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT 
CHANTAL MAY NOT HAVE A CLOSED CIRCULATION AND IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO 
DOWNGRADE THE SYSTEM TO A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS 
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT AND THE PLANE WILL CONTINUE 
MONITORING THE SYSTEM THIS EVENING. 

THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE CENTER LOCATION AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...IS IN 
THE VICINITY OF LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.0 WEST OR ABOUT 
100 MILES...160 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS.  

CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IF THE CENTER REDEVELOPS...CHANTAL COULD STRENGTHEN.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM 
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. EVEN IF CHANTAL HAS LOST ITS CLOSED 
CIRCULATION...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF 
THE WARNING AREA.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.82 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF CHANTAL

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.9 N... 58.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 26 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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