HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU AUG 16 2001

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR NEARLY A STORM...WARNINGS ISSUED...
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST.
LUCIA.
 
ALSO AT 5 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE GRENADINES AND DOMINICA.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR MARTINIQUE LATER THIS MORNING.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.6 WEST OR 
ABOUT 465 MILES...750 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING...AND THE 
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH LATER THIS
MORNING.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE CYCLONE.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...12.7 N... 52.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 28 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM 
AST.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN