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TROPICAL STORM OLGA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON DEC 03 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST THU DEC 6 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.6N 69.4W 56 X X X 56 MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 3 4
28.5N 68.8W 39 X X X 39 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 3 3
28.0N 69.5W 99 X X X 99 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2
TISX 177N 648W X X X 2 2 BERMUDA X X 1 3 4
TIST 183N 650W X X X 3 3 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2
TJPS 180N 666W X X 1 2 3 ST THOMAS VI X X X 3 3
MDSD 185N 697W X X 1 3 4 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 3 4
MDCB 176N 714W X X X 2 2 PONCE PR X X 1 2 3
MTPP 186N 724W X X X 2 2 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2
TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 3 4 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3
MDPP 198N 707W X X 1 4 5 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X 2 5 7 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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