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TROPICAL STORM OLGA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN DEC 02 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED DEC 5 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.0N 69.7W 24 1 1 1 27 BERMUDA X X 3 4 7
29.4N 68.9W 13 5 1 2 21 SAN JUAN PR X X X 2 2
28.8N 69.0W 21 2 1 1 25 MIAMI FL X X X 2 2
MDSD 185N 697W X X X 2 2 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2
TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 2 2 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2
MDPP 198N 707W X X X 3 3 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X 1 4 5 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MYMM 224N 730W X X X 5 5 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 5 5 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 4 4 WILMINGTON NC X X X 3 3
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 3 3 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 2 3
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 3 3 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 3 4
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 3 3 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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