HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
SUBTROPICAL STORM TWO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN NOV 25 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED NOV 28 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.6N  58.5W      52  X  X  X 52   30.7N  59.7W      27  1  1  X 29
30.8N  59.1W      39  X  X  X 39   BERMUDA            X  1  5  7 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN