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TROPICAL STORM NOEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON NOV 05 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU NOV  8 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
47.5N  48.5W      26  3  X  X 29   CAPE RACE NFLD     9  2  X  X 11
53.0N  48.0W       X 14  X  X 14   HIBERNIA OILFLD   27  2  X  X 29
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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