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HURRICANE NOEL SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
NOON AST MON NOV 05 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT NOON AST...1600Z...THE CENTER OF NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU NOV  8 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
44.0N  51.0W      18  3  X  X 21   BURGEO NFLD        1  4  X  X  5
51.0N  50.0W       X  8  X  X  8   ILE ST PIERRE      3  5  X  X  8
SYDNEY NS          1  1  X  X  2   CAPE RACE NFLD     5  9  X  X 14
PTX BASQUES NFLD   1  2  X  X  3   HIBERNIA OILFLD    2 11  X  X 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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