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HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST SUN NOV 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM EST WED NOV 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.8N 76.5W 25 4 X X 29 MYGF 266N 787W 16 X X X 16
28.0N 71.5W X 17 4 X 21 BERMUDA X X 11 6 17
31.5N 65.5W X X 14 3 17 MARATHON FL 8 X X X 8
MUCM 214N 779W 7 1 X X 8 MIAMI FL 6 X X X 6
MUCF 221N 805W 99 X X X 99 W PALM BEACH FL 2 X X X 2
MUSN 216N 826W 99 X X X 99 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 5 5
MUHA 230N 824W 16 X X X 16 SYDNEY NS X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X 1 1 X 2 EDDY POINT NS X X X 2 2
MYMM 224N 730W X 5 1 X 6 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 2 2
MYSM 241N 745W 5 14 1 X 20 BURGEO NFLD X X X 3 3
MYEG 235N 758W 14 7 X X 21 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 4 4
MYAK 241N 776W 37 1 X X 38 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 5 5
MYNN 251N 775W 35 1 X X 36 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE
C FROM 1AM TUE TO 1PM TUE
D FROM 1PM TUE TO 1PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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