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HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST SUN NOV 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM EST WED NOV 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.4N 80.6W 44 X X X 44 MYGF 266N 787W X 17 7 X 24
25.1N 77.9W 2 24 3 X 29 BERMUDA X X X 9 9
27.5N 73.5W X X 15 4 19 MARATHON FL 22 10 X X 32
MWCG 193N 814W 6 X X X 6 MIAMI FL 3 22 1 X 26
MUGM 200N 751W X 1 1 X 2 W PALM BEACH FL X 17 4 X 21
MUCM 214N 779W 6 10 1 X 17 FT PIERCE FL X 10 6 X 16
MUCF 221N 805W 51 X X X 51 COCOA BEACH FL X 4 6 1 11
MUSN 216N 826W 79 X X X 79 DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 4 X 5
MUHA 230N 824W 46 X X X 46 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W 13 1 X X 14 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X 2 2 4 KEY WEST FL 25 6 X X 31
MYMM 224N 730W X 1 7 1 9 MARCO ISLAND FL 2 17 X X 19
MYSM 241N 745W X 5 14 X 19 FT MYERS FL 1 12 2 X 15
MYEG 235N 758W X 15 7 X 22 VENICE FL X 7 1 X 8
MYAK 241N 776W 6 22 2 X 30 TAMPA FL X 3 1 X 4
MYNN 251N 775W 1 23 5 X 29
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
C FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE
D FROM 1AM TUE TO 1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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