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HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST SAT NOV 03 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM EST TUE NOV 6 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.0N 81.7W 41 X X X 41 MARATHON FL 15 11 X X 26
24.0N 79.0W 7 17 2 X 26 MIAMI FL 2 17 3 X 22
26.0N 75.0W X 1 15 3 19 W PALM BEACH FL X 12 6 X 18
MWCG 193N 814W 10 1 X X 11 FT PIERCE FL X 7 7 1 15
MUGM 200N 751W X 1 2 1 4 COCOA BEACH FL X 3 8 X 11
MUCM 214N 779W 2 11 3 X 16 DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 4 1 6
MUCF 221N 805W 33 1 X X 34 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 2 X 2
MUSN 216N 826W 65 X X X 65 CHARLESTON SC X X 1 1 2
MUHA 230N 824W 41 X 1 X 42 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W 16 X X X 16 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X X 1 3 4 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3
MYMM 224N 730W X X 6 3 9 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 13 2 16 KEY WEST FL 20 6 X 1 27
MYEG 235N 758W X 5 12 1 18 MARCO ISLAND FL 2 15 1 X 18
MYAK 241N 776W 1 15 7 X 23 FT MYERS FL 1 11 2 1 15
MYNN 251N 775W X 12 10 1 23 VENICE FL X 7 3 X 10
MYGF 266N 787W X 9 11 X 20 TAMPA FL X 3 3 X 6
BERMUDA X X X 10 10 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 1 X 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
C FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON
D FROM 7PM MON TO 7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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