ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MICHELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST SAT NOV 03 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MICHELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM EST TUE NOV 6 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.9N 84.3W 58 X X X 58 MARATHON FL X 4 16 3 23
22.0N 83.6W 28 2 1 X 31 MIAMI FL X X 13 7 20
23.3N 81.4W 1 9 13 1 24 W PALM BEACH FL X X 9 9 18
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 3 3 FT PIERCE FL X X 6 10 16
MWCG 193N 814W 2 4 5 1 12 COCOA BEACH FL X X 4 10 14
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 4 4 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 2 9 11
MUCM 214N 779W X X 2 10 12 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 7 7
MUCF 221N 805W X 4 13 2 19 SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W 18 5 2 1 26 CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W 5 15 7 X 27 KEY WEST FL X 9 14 1 24
MUAN 219N 850W 31 1 X X 32 MARCO ISLAND FL X 2 15 3 20
MMCZ 205N 869W 10 2 X X 12 FT MYERS FL X 1 13 4 18
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 3 3 VENICE FL X 1 11 4 16
MYMM 224N 730W X X X 7 7 TAMPA FL X X 7 6 13
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 11 11 CEDAR KEY FL X X 2 7 9
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 13 13 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
MYAK 241N 776W X X 3 14 17 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MYNN 251N 775W X X 2 15 17 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
MYGF 266N 787W X X 4 13 17 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 3 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM SUN TO 1PM SUN
C FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
D FROM 1AM MON TO 1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}