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TROPICAL STORM KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN OCT 14 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED OCT 17 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
48.0N  62.0W      21  2  X  X 23   SABLE ISLAND NS   19  X  X  X 19
51.5N  58.0W       1 14  X  X 15   SYDNEY NS         22  1  X  X 23
BAR HARBOR ME      2  X  X  X  2   EDDY POINT NS     29  X  X  X 29
EASTPORT ME       10  X  X  X 10   PTX BASQUES NFLD  16  5  X  X 21
ST JOHN NB        21  X  X  X 21   BURGEO NFLD        9  8  X  X 17
MONCTON NB        26  X  X  X 26   ILE ST PIERRE      5  8  X  X 13
YARMOUTH NS       27  X  X  X 27   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  6  X  X  6
HALIFAX NS        40  X  X  X 40
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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