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TROPICAL STORM KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN OCT 14 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED OCT 17 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
46.6N  63.3W      23  3  X  X 26   SABLE ISLAND NS   15  2  X  X 17
52.1N  59.8W       X 12  X  X 12   SYDNEY NS         14  7  X  X 21
BAR HARBOR ME     10  1  X  X 11   EDDY POINT NS     22  3  X  X 25
EASTPORT ME       21  1  X  X 22   PTX BASQUES NFLD   6 13  X  X 19
ST JOHN NB        26  X  X  X 26   BURGEO NFLD        3 11  X  X 14
MONCTON NB        25  2  X  X 27   ILE ST PIERRE      1  8  X  X  9
YARMOUTH NS       32  X  X  X 32   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  3  X  X  3
HALIFAX NS        33  X  X  X 33
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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