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HURRICANE KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN OCT 14 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST WED OCT 17 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
42.8N 62.0W 26 X X X 26 SABLE ISLAND NS 13 4 X 1 18
45.3N 61.2W 9 7 1 X 17 SYDNEY NS 3 10 2 1 16
48.0N 58.0W X 6 6 2 14 EDDY POINT NS 8 7 2 X 17
BAR HARBOR ME 1 2 1 X 4 PTX BASQUES NFLD 1 8 4 2 15
EASTPORT ME 2 5 1 X 8 BURGEO NFLD X 6 6 2 14
ST JOHN NB 4 6 X 1 11 ILE ST PIERRE X 5 5 3 13
MONCTON NB 3 8 1 1 13 CAPE RACE NFLD X 1 4 5 10
YARMOUTH NS 7 4 X 1 12 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X 1 5 6
HALIFAX NS 13 4 X 1 18
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN
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