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HURRICANE KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  63.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED OCT 17 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
42.6N  63.2W      26  X  X  1 27   YARMOUTH NS       11  5  1  X 17
45.3N  62.7W       6 12  1  1 20   HALIFAX NS        11  8  1  X 20
48.0N  59.0W       X  6  9  1 16   SABLE ISLAND NS    8  7  2  X 17
NANTUCKET MA       1  1  X  X  2   SYDNEY NS          1 11  5  1 18
HYANNIS MA         1  1  X  X  2   EDDY POINT NS      4 12  3  X 19
PORTLAND ME        1  1  1  X  3   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  7  8  2 17
BAR HARBOR ME      2  6  1  X  9   BURGEO NFLD        X  4  9  2 15
EASTPORT ME        4  8  1  1 14   ILE ST PIERRE      X  2  7  3 12
ST JOHN NB         4 11  1  X 16   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  3  6  9
MONCTON NB         3 13  1  1 18   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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