ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE OCT 16 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
37.8N 63.6W 31 X 1 X 32 ST JOHN NB X 2 4 3 9
39.6N 62.5W 11 4 1 2 18 MONCTON NB X 2 3 4 9
41.5N 60.8W 1 7 3 3 14 YARMOUTH NS X 4 3 3 10
BERMUDA X 3 1 1 5 HALIFAX NS X 4 4 3 11
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 1 2 SABLE ISLAND NS X 3 4 5 12
PROVIDENCE RI X 1 X 1 2 SYDNEY NS X 1 3 6 10
NANTUCKET MA X 2 1 1 4 EDDY POINT NS X 2 4 5 11
HYANNIS MA X 1 2 1 4 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X 2 6 8
BOSTON MA X 1 1 1 3 BURGEO NFLD X X 2 5 7
PORTLAND ME X 1 1 1 3 ILE ST PIERRE X X 1 6 7
BAR HARBOR ME X 2 2 2 6 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 4 4
EASTPORT ME X 2 3 3 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
Problems?