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SUBTROPICAL STORM ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON OCT 15 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.0N  65.0W      28  1  X  X 29   ST JOHN NB         X  2  5  3 10
39.0N  64.0W       9  6  1  1 17   MONCTON NB         X  1  5  4 10
41.0N  62.5W       X  8  3  3 14   YARMOUTH NS        X  4  5  3 12
BERMUDA            3  3  1  X  7   HALIFAX NS         X  2  5  5 12
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1  1  1  3   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  1  4  6 11
PROVIDENCE RI      X  2  1  1  4   SYDNEY NS          X  X  3  6  9
NANTUCKET MA       X  4  2  1  7   EDDY POINT NS      X  1  3  6 10
HYANNIS MA         X  3  2  1  6   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  1  7  8
BOSTON MA          X  2  1  2  5   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  1  5  6
PORTLAND ME        X  2  2  2  6   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  5  5
BAR HARBOR ME      X  2  4  2  8   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  3  3
EASTPORT ME        X  2  5  3 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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