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SUBTROPICAL STORM ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON OCT 15 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
36.0N  66.2W      35  X  1  X 36   PORTLAND ME        X  1  3  5  9
37.4N  65.7W      12  4  2  1 19   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  3  6  9
39.0N  65.0W       1  8  4  3 16   EASTPORT ME        X  X  2  7  9
BERMUDA            6  3  1  1 11   ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  7  8
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1  1  1  3   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  7  7
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  2  2  5   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  3  7 10
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  3  3  3  9   HALIFAX NS         X  X  1  7  8
PROVIDENCE RI      X  3  4  2  9   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  6  6
NANTUCKET MA       X  5  4  3 12   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  4  4
HYANNIS MA         X  4  4  3 11   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  6  6
BOSTON MA          X  2  4  3  9   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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