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TROPICAL STORM JERRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON OCT 08 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU OCT 11 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
15.5N  70.0W      48  X  X  X 48   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  8  8
16.3N  72.5W       6 28  X  X 34   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  6  6
17.0N  75.0W       X 13 14  1 28   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  3  3
SKPG 125N 717W     1  1  X  X  2   MDPP 198N 707W     X  7  3  X 10
TJPS 180N 666W     3  X  X  X  3   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  2  1  3
MDSD 185N 697W     7 10  X  X 17   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  2  2  4
MDCB 176N 714W     8 24  X  X 32   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X 22  3  X 25   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  6  6
MTCA 183N 738W     X 18 10  X 28   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJP 179N 768W     X  1 18  4 23   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X 11 10 21   PONCE PR           3  X  X  X  3
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 13 13   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  1 16  3 20   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  2 13 15   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 11 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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