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TROPICAL STORM JERRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN OCT 07 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED OCT 10 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
14.0N 65.8W 49 X X X 49 MTPP 186N 724W X X 16 5 21
14.8N 68.7W 1 32 X X 33 MTCA 183N 738W X X 11 10 21
15.8N 71.7W X 4 21 1 26 MKJP 179N 768W X X 1 15 16
SKPG 125N 717W X 2 9 2 13 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 14 14
TNCC 122N 690W 1 13 2 X 16 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 3 3
SVMG 110N 640W 5 X X X 5 MUGM 200N 751W X X 2 14 16
TTPT 112N 608W 21 X X X 21 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 10 10
TGPY 120N 618W 61 X X X 61 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 3 3
TBPB 131N 595W 99 X X X 99 TJSJ 184N 661W 1 9 2 X 12
TVSV 131N 612W 97 X X X 97 MDPP 198N 707W X X 12 2 14
TLPL 138N 610W 91 X X X 91 MBJT 215N 712W X X 3 5 8
TFFF 146N 610W 63 X X X 63 MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 6 7
TDPR 153N 614W 33 X X X 33 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 4 4
TFFR 163N 615W 5 X X X 5 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 6 6
TAPA 171N 618W 2 X X X 2 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 4 4
TKPK 173N 627W 4 X X X 4 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2
TISX 177N 648W 7 6 X X 13 ST CROIX VI 7 6 X X 13
TIST 183N 650W 3 4 1 X 8 ST THOMAS VI 3 4 1 X 8
TJPS 180N 666W 1 15 1 X 17 SAN JUAN PR 1 9 2 X 12
MDSD 185N 697W X 6 14 X 20 PONCE PR 1 15 1 X 17
MDCB 176N 714W X 3 21 1 25
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN
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