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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT OCT 06 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE OCT  9 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
11.8N  56.5W      47  X  X  X 47   TFFR 163N 615W     X  2 17  2 21
12.5N  59.0W       2 31  X  X 33   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X 13  5 18
13.5N  61.5W       X  7 19  2 28   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X 10  7 17
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  2  2   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  5  9 14
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  4  8 12   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  2 13 15
TTPP 106N 614W     X  4 11  2 17   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1 12 13
TTPT 112N 608W     X 12  9  1 22   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 11 11
TGPY 120N 618W     X  4 17  1 22   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  3  3
TBPB 131N 595W     X 30  2  X 32   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 11 11
TVSV 131N 612W     X 11 16  1 28   ST CROIX VI        X  X  2 13 15
TLPL 138N 610W     X 12 17  X 29   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1 12 13
TFFF 146N 610W     X  9 18  1 28   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 11 11
TDPR 153N 614W     X  4 20  1 25   PONCE PR           X  X  X 11 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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