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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT OCT 06 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST TUE OCT 9 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
12.5N 55.5W 53 X X X 53 TFFR 163N 615W X 2 16 5 23
13.5N 58.5W 1 37 X X 38 TAPA 171N 618W X X 13 7 20
14.0N 60.5W X 16 11 1 28 TKPK 173N 627W X X 8 11 19
SVMG 110N 640W X X 1 6 7 TNCM 181N 631W X X 4 12 16
TTPP 106N 614W X 1 6 4 11 TISX 177N 648W X X 1 14 15
TTPT 112N 608W X 4 8 4 16 TIST 183N 650W X X X 13 13
TGPY 120N 618W X 2 11 5 18 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 9 9
TBPB 131N 595W X 27 3 1 31 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 10 10
TVSV 131N 612W X 7 14 3 24 ST CROIX VI X X 1 14 15
TLPL 138N 610W X 10 14 2 26 ST THOMAS VI X X X 13 13
TFFF 146N 610W X 9 16 2 27 SAN JUAN PR X X X 10 10
TDPR 153N 614W X 4 18 3 25 PONCE PR X X X 9 9
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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