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HURRICANE IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN OCT 07 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT WED OCT 10 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.0N 85.5W 49 X X X 49 MHNJ 165N 859W 23 3 1 X 27
18.0N 88.5W 2 32 1 X 35 MMSO 238N 982W X X X 7 7
18.0N 91.5W X 6 21 1 28 MMTM 222N 979W X X X 12 12
MKJS 185N 779W 15 X X X 15 MMTX 210N 974W X X X 15 15
MWCG 193N 814W 38 X X X 38 MMVR 192N 961W X X 2 17 19
MUAN 219N 850W 2 3 X X 5 MMFR 185N 926W X 1 23 2 26
MMCZ 205N 869W 5 22 X X 27 MMMD 210N 897W X 13 10 X 23
MZBZ 175N 883W 3 29 1 X 33 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X 13 3 X 16 GULF 25N 96W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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