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HURRICANE IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT OCT 06 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE OCT  9 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.5N  78.0W      47  1  X  X 48   MUSN 216N 826W     X 14 11  X 25
19.5N  81.0W       2 34  X  X 36   MUHA 230N 824W     X  3 11  2 16
19.5N  83.5W       X 14 12  X 26   MUAN 219N 850W     X  1 16  4 21
MDCB 176N 714W    99  X  X  X 99   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X 10 11 21
MTPP 186N 724W    22  X  X  X 22   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  1 11 12
MTCA 183N 738W    70  X  X  X 70   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  5  5
MKJP 179N 768W    55  X  X  X 55   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  2  8 10
MKJS 185N 779W    48  1  X  X 49   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     1 32  X  X 33   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W    20  X  X  X 20   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X 14 14
MUCM 214N 779W     7 13  X  X 20   MARATHON FL        X  X  2  1  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X 17  4  X 21   KEY WEST FL        X  X  3  2  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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