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TROPICAL STORM IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT OCT 06 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE OCT  9 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.8N  75.0W      48  X  X  X 48   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1 18 19
18.6N  77.5W       6 28  X  X 34   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X 16 16
19.0N  80.0W       X 14 12  1 27   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  7  7
MDSD 185N 697W     4  X  X  X  4   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2
MDCB 176N 714W    70  X  X  X 70   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X 10 10
MTPP 186N 724W    45  X  X  X 45   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  3  3
MTCA 183N 738W    54  X  X  X 54   MYEG 235N 758W     X  1  1  X  2
MKJP 179N 768W    22 13  X  X 35   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  3  1  4
MKJS 185N 779W     3 29  X  X 32   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  8  8
MWCG 193N 814W     X  2 20  3 25   MARATHON FL        X  X  1  7  8
MUGM 200N 751W    19 10  X  X 29   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2
MUCM 214N 779W     X 15  7  X 22   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  8  9
MUCF 221N 805W     X  1 16  3 20   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X 11 10 21   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  5 12 17
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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