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TROPICAL STORM IRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI OCT 05 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST MON OCT 8 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.2N 72.0W 48 X X 1 49 MHNJ 165N 859W X X X 3 3
18.0N 75.0W 3 34 X X 37 MNPC 141N 834W X X X 2 2
18.5N 78.0W X 8 20 1 29 MDPP 198N 707W 9 5 X X 14
TJPS 180N 666W 5 X X X 5 MBJT 215N 712W X 2 X X 2
MDSD 185N 697W 38 X X X 38 MYMM 224N 730W X 1 1 1 3
MDCB 176N 714W 52 X X X 52 MYEG 235N 758W X X 3 2 5
MTPP 186N 724W 31 9 X X 40 MYAK 241N 776W X X 2 5 7
MTCA 183N 738W 15 25 X X 40 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 4 4
MKJP 179N 768W X 22 9 X 31 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W X 9 20 X 29 PONCE PR 5 X X X 5
MWCG 193N 814W X X 8 13 21 MARATHON FL X X X 10 10
MUGM 200N 751W X 26 4 X 30 MIAMI FL X X X 5 5
MUCM 214N 779W X 1 19 2 22 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X X 6 13 19 KEY WEST FL X X X 11 11
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 16 17 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 5 5
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 15 15 FT MYERS FL X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 12 12 VENICE FL X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W X X X 6 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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