ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 05 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST MON OCT 8 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
16.0N 68.2W 52 X X X 52 MUSN 216N 826W X X X 5 5
16.9N 70.7W 7 31 X X 38 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 4 4
17.5N 73.2W X 13 17 X 30 TJSJ 184N 661W 6 1 X X 7
SKPG 125N 717W X 1 1 2 4 MDPP 198N 707W X 16 5 X 21
TISX 177N 648W 3 X X X 3 MBJT 215N 712W X 2 5 2 9
TJPS 180N 666W 19 2 X X 21 MYMM 224N 730W X X 4 5 9
MDSD 185N 697W 7 24 X X 31 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 4 4
MDCB 176N 714W 1 32 2 1 36 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 9 9
MTPP 186N 724W X 19 12 X 31 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 8 8
MTCA 183N 738W X 5 23 1 29 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 4 4
MKJP 179N 768W X X 5 16 21 ST CROIX VI 3 X X X 3
MKJS 185N 779W X X 1 18 19 SAN JUAN PR 6 1 X X 7
MWCG 193N 814W X X X 9 9 PONCE PR 19 2 X X 21
MUGM 200N 751W X X 15 8 23 MARATHON FL X X X 4 4
MUCM 214N 779W X X 1 16 17 MIAMI FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 11 11 KEY WEST FL X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
Problems?