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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU OCT 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN OCT 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.0N 66.0W 48 X X X 48 MTPP 186N 724W X X 21 3 24
16.0N 68.5W 5 28 1 X 34 MTCA 183N 738W X X 13 9 22
17.0N 71.5W X 5 22 1 28 MKJP 179N 768W X X 1 14 15
SKPG 125N 717W X 1 2 3 6 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 12 12
TNCC 122N 690W 1 3 1 1 6 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 2 2
TGPY 120N 618W 15 X X X 15 MUGM 200N 751W X X 3 15 18
TBPB 131N 595W 99 X X X 99 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 11 11
TVSV 131N 612W 99 X X X 99 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 4 4
TLPL 138N 610W 99 X X X 99 TJSJ 184N 661W 4 14 X X 18
TFFF 146N 610W 81 X X X 81 MDPP 198N 707W X 1 17 2 20
TDPR 153N 614W 49 X X X 49 MBJT 215N 712W X X 6 6 12
TFFR 163N 615W 8 X X X 8 MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 9 10
TAPA 171N 618W 2 X X X 2 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 5 5
TKPK 173N 627W 6 1 X X 7 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 7 7
TNCM 181N 631W 2 1 X X 3 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 5 5
TISX 177N 648W 15 4 X X 19 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 3 3
TIST 183N 650W 6 7 X X 13 ST CROIX VI 15 4 X X 19
TJPS 180N 666W 6 18 X X 24 ST THOMAS VI 6 7 X X 13
MDSD 185N 697W X 13 15 X 28 SAN JUAN PR 4 14 X X 18
MDCB 176N 714W X 5 23 X 28 PONCE PR 6 18 X X 24
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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