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TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST WED SEP 26 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.2N 68.3W 35 X X X 35 HYANNIS MA X X 1 8 9
35.0N 68.3W 6 13 2 X 21 BOSTON MA X X X 8 8
37.0N 67.5W X 4 9 3 16 PORTLAND ME X X X 7 7
BERMUDA 5 4 2 1 12 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 2 X 3 EASTPORT ME X X X 7 7
NORFOLK VA X X 2 1 3 ST JOHN NB X X X 6 6
OCEAN CITY MD X X 3 2 5 MONCTON NB X X X 5 5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 4 6 YARMOUTH NS X X X 8 8
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 4 6 HALIFAX NS X X X 7 7
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 2 6 8 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 5 5
PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 7 8 SYDNEY NS X X X 3 3
NANTUCKET MA X X 1 9 10 EDDY POINT NS X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
C FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
D FROM 2AM TUE TO 2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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