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TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 22 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE SEP 25 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.0N  68.7W      52  X  X  X 52   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X 10 10
32.5N  69.5W      16  5  2  X 23   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X 10 10
34.5N  69.5W       X 10  5  2 17   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X 10 10
BERMUDA            1  4  4  2 11   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X 10 10
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1  1  2   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  9  9
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  2  4   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  7  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  3  6   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  6  6
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  5  4  9   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  X  2  5  7   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  1  8  9   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  8  9   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  5  5
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  9  9   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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