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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 22 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST TUE SEP 25 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.0N 68.6W 41 X X X 41 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 7 8
32.8N 69.4W 11 12 1 1 25 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 7 7
35.0N 69.5W X 8 8 3 19 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 7 7
BERMUDA 1 4 3 3 11 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 1 2 NANTUCKET MA X X X 6 6
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 3 4 HYANNIS MA X X X 6 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 3 4 7 BOSTON MA X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 5 5 10 PORTLAND ME X X X 3 3
NORFOLK VA X X 2 7 9 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 2 2
OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 7 9
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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