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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 21 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST MON SEP 24 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.5N 68.5W 38 X X X 38 NORFOLK VA X X 1 7 8
31.5N 69.5W 4 16 1 1 22 OCEAN CITY MD X X X 8 8
33.5N 70.0W X 6 8 3 17 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 6 6
BERMUDA X 3 4 4 11 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5
CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 4 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 4 5 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3
WILMINGTON NC X X 2 5 7 NANTUCKET MA X X X 3 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 3 6 9 HYANNIS MA X X X 3 3
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 3 7 10 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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