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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.3N  72.6W      28  X  X  X 28   HYANNIS MA         X  X  2  4  6
34.7N  70.0W       5 11  1  1 18   BOSTON MA          X  X  1  3  4
36.1N  67.3W       X  7  5  2 14   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  2  3
BERMUDA            X  1  2  4  7   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  3  4
MYRTLE BEACH SC    1  1  X  X  2   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  4  4
WILMINGTON NC      3  2  X  X  5   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   8  2  X  X 10   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   9  2  1  X 12   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  1  5  6
NORFOLK VA         1  2  1  X  4   HALIFAX NS         X  X  1  5  6
OCEAN CITY MD      X  2  1  1  4   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  6  6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1  1  1  3   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  4  4
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  2  3   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  5  5
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  2  4   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  2  2  4   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2
NANTUCKET MA       X  1  2  3  6   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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