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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 15 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.6N 73.9W 28 X X X 28 HYANNIS MA X X 2 3 5
34.1N 71.0W 4 12 2 X 18 BOSTON MA X X 1 3 4
36.0N 67.5W X 5 7 2 14 PORTLAND ME X X X 3 3
BERMUDA X X 3 4 7 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 4 4
CHARLESTON SC 1 X 1 X 2 EASTPORT ME X X X 4 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC 3 1 1 X 5 ST JOHN NB X X X 4 4
WILMINGTON NC 5 3 X X 8 MONCTON NB X X X 4 4
MOREHEAD CITY NC 8 3 1 X 12 YARMOUTH NS X X 1 5 6
CAPE HATTERAS NC 6 5 1 X 12 HALIFAX NS X X 1 5 6
NORFOLK VA X 3 1 1 5 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 7 7
OCEAN CITY MD X 1 2 1 4 SYDNEY NS X X X 4 4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 1 X 2 3 EDDY POINT NS X X X 5 5
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 2 3 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 3 3
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 2 2 4 BURGEO NFLD X X X 3 3
PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 3 4 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 3 3
NANTUCKET MA X X 3 3 6 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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