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TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SUN SEP 16 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
26.0N 85.5W 99 X X X 99 KEY WEST FL 3 5 3 2 13
27.0N 85.5W 23 2 1 1 27 MARCO ISLAND FL 4 5 4 2 15
28.0N 85.0W 11 7 3 2 23 FT MYERS FL 4 6 3 3 16
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 2 3 VENICE FL 6 6 3 3 18
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 1 2 TAMPA FL 2 6 5 4 17
MUHA 230N 824W 1 3 1 2 7 CEDAR KEY FL X 5 6 5 16
MUAN 219N 850W X 1 X 1 2 ST MARKS FL X 3 7 6 16
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 3 3 APALACHICOLA FL 1 7 6 4 18
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 3 4 PANAMA CITY FL X 7 6 5 18
MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 5 7 PENSACOLA FL X 5 7 4 16
MARATHON FL 1 4 3 3 11 MOBILE AL X 4 6 5 15
MIAMI FL X 3 4 4 11 GULFPORT MS X 4 6 4 14
W PALM BEACH FL X 2 4 5 11 BURAS LA X 6 4 3 13
FT PIERCE FL X 1 4 7 12 NEW ORLEANS LA X 3 4 4 11
COCOA BEACH FL X 1 4 7 12 NEW IBERIA LA X 1 2 3 6
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 4 8 12 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 3 8 11 GULF 29N 85W 3 9 5 3 20
SAVANNAH GA X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 87W 3 11 4 2 20
CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 3 8 3 2 16
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W X 2 2 4 8
WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI
C FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
D FROM 7AM SAT TO 7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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